Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AAVE prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-06-22 146.628261 169.389627 195.613522 228.313435 268.349229 316.230458 3.785277e+02
2025-06-29 113.957338 141.782788 177.138431 226.271655 294.287230 387.481939 5.292079e+02
2025-07-06 96.182244 125.680578 165.718815 225.753801 316.683660 455.025596 6.940280e+02
2025-07-13 88.377543 120.408649 166.439063 240.301294 361.868408 566.442566 9.687847e+02
2025-07-20 83.101313 117.385966 169.183899 257.536873 414.644312 706.140736 1.360680e+03
2025-07-27 75.862173 110.154165 164.002844 260.391189 442.889674 810.488789 1.738736e+03
2025-08-03 70.676634 105.264529 161.565388 267.062791 479.386172 943.883456 2.271664e+03
2025-08-10 65.248063 99.229381 156.215992 267.203143 502.664947 1057.088225 2.836729e+03
2025-08-17 61.140849 94.851838 153.026841 270.680767 533.748309 1201.733710 3.631258e+03
2025-08-24 56.944390 89.833161 147.983051 269.460405 553.880155 1326.967759 4.492179e+03
2025-08-31 53.409212 85.585925 143.790937 269.200552 576.256515 1469.515612 5.609533e+03
2025-09-07 50.856436 82.818497 142.018337 273.774461 612.154287 1672.784869 7.348470e+03
2025-09-14 45.870395 75.493046 131.222882 257.969767 594.204166 1704.224878 8.302282e+03
2025-09-21 42.826468 71.531559 126.730822 256.184290 616.007700 1898.529291 1.087846e+04
2025-09-28 40.252389 68.187087 123.047573 255.607951 641.514570 2129.067799 1.458786e+04
2025-10-05 39.477153 68.194751 126.275537 272.688104 728.487758 2705.506177 2.497288e+04
2025-10-12 38.933643 68.583845 130.354783 292.984216 836.359683 3522.078985 4.746287e+04
2025-10-19 37.169766 66.332703 128.305338 296.351621 886.118169 4091.412981 7.553938e+04
2025-10-26 35.857774 64.880044 127.874060 304.229264 957.672063 4918.246400 1.374231e+05
2025-11-02 34.174425 62.496814 124.991893 304.395090 998.677659 5607.131768 2.337041e+05
2025-11-09 32.860402 60.783172 123.496896 308.505196 1059.785932 6595.874225 4.723322e+05
2025-11-16 31.347899 58.515676 120.405957 307.062596 1095.704306 7450.664138 9.313418e+05
2025-11-23 30.014538 56.534664 117.809317 306.755461 1138.046228 8501.057136 2.194908e+06